Market volatility

With the Fed rapidly raising rates, ETF investors may need reminders on how to approach ETF trades on days of Fed announcements.

Quickly rising global interest rates increase the prospect of dislocations in distinct market corners. Financial markets seek certainty that policymakers can lead the economy to a comfortable place.

With the litany of negative economic and market news, it’s tempting to stay on the sidelines. But, based on market history, Vanguard CIO Greg Davis says it’s better to stay in the game.

Wall Street forecasts of one-year U.S. stock returns tend to be wildly inaccurate. Our outlooks consider a longer horizon.

Tens of thousands of Vanguard clients tuned in for a live webcast with our chairman and CEO. Watch a replay of the January 10, 2023, event.

Despite collapsing natural-gas prices and resilient industrial activity, Europe’s energy crisis isn’t over yet.

China will likely see fairly robust growth in 2023, just enough to keep us out of a global recession.

Investors were feeling more upbeat in February about prospects for the stock market and the economy.

History shows why investors shouldn’t overreact to market volatility.

An era of higher interest rates will also be an era of sound money. Read more of Vanguard’s 2024 views in this summary.

A rising unemployment rate may not be truly indicative of the labor market.

Predictions for soft landings and hard landings were off for 2024. Time to consider a delayed landing in 2025.  

Our experts discuss the ramifications of central banks diverging in their monetary policy this year.

Here’s why slowing globalization is unlikely to lead to worrying inflation, particularly in the U.S.

The Fed and the ECB may be taking very different paths in their monetary policies, impacting inflation and portfolios.

Vanguard economists weigh in on why the dollar is the global reserve standard and the likelihood of an alternative emerging.

Greg Davis examines the role that asset classes play in a portfolio in today’s market environment.

Investors may be too complacent about the impact of higher rates on valuations.

Vanguard’s CEO and CIO explain how higher interest rates can be a motivator for bond investors.

In a podcast appearance, Vanguard’s chief economist for the Asia-Pacific discusses investment conditions and the long-term outlook.

A new, proprietary Vanguard index suggests the dollar is overvalued and will depreciate modestly in the coming years.

Sage advice for investors during times of market volatility.

Our research shows that changes in interest rates may alter the risk profiles of bond funds. Now might be the time for a checkup. 

Watch a 2-minute video featuring Vanguard’s global chief economist and head of fixed income credit.

Vanguard’s Jumana Saleheen explains why bonds now stand to offer greater value than equities in a portfolio.

Investments in AI are unlikely to ward off a near-term U.S. economic slowdown or justify rich stock valuations.

ETF options usage rises, and active ETF costs fall. Our experts examine these ETF industry trends and more.

Three Vanguard senior economists discuss interest rates, inflation, the labor market, and the broader U.S. economy.

This short video discusses why interest rates are returning to historical norms, benefiting savers and investors.

Learn how investors should respond to a potential government shutdown.

Investors were feeling more pessimistic as stock return expectations dipped in October, according to the latest Vanguard Investor Expectations Survey.

Interest rate hikes may be winding down in developed markets, but rates may stay high longer than expected, according to Vanguard economists.

Is inflation finally tamed? Not likely unless we see a slowdown in “sticky” categories.

For only the second time in history, the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded. We discuss the ramifications.

Vanguard’s chief investment officer gives his take on how to navigate the current interest rate environment.

Interest rates may rise further, and economic growth may slow. Expected market returns have mostly edged lower since year-end.

An agreement on the debt ceiling has been signed into law. How should investors respond?

In this 2-minute video, we review how financial markets reacted to past standoffs over raising the U.S. debt limit.

Lawmakers have reached a bipartisan agreement to raise the debt ceiling. How should investors respond?

Vanguard CIO Greg Davis describes the potential paths ahead, including the likelihood of a positive outcome.

In this audiocast, Greg Davis and Sara Devereux discuss the ramifications of a debt default and the precautions we’ve taken.

Learn Vanguard’s views on how investors should respond to the debt ceiling talks in Washington.

Get Vanguard’s perspective on how we’re responding to the debt ceiling debate and what investors should know.

Fresh central bank rate hikes highlight the disconnect between hawkish policymakers and investors who’ve been expecting rate cuts in 2023.

Joe Davis, Vanguard’s global chief economist, discusses the trade-offs facing the Fed in its efforts to achieve price stability.

In context, recent tech sector layoffs are limited in scope and not likely to spill over to the broader economy.

Market volatility may come and go in the months ahead, so it’s important for investors to stay focused on what they can control, like maintaining balance and diversification in their portfolios.

In this January 10, 2023, webcast excerpt, Vanguard’s CEO advises nervous investors to control what they can.

Our base case remains a shallow recession in late 2023, but the odds of a “later landing” have increased.

In this short video, Vanguard senior international economist Andrew Patterson explains how we’ll assess inflation data in 2023.

In this short video, Vanguard’s global chief economist, Joe Davis, discusses what’s ahead for the economy in 2023.

Vanguard is preparing to release its 2023 economic and market outlook. This sneak peek includes insights on inflation, the energy crisis in Europe, long-term structural challenges faced by China, and a more positive outlook on the long-term investment environment.

U.S. shelter costs, a source of inflation pressure, will ease in 2023, bringing the Fed closer to its price stability goal.

The U.S. Treasury market, the world’s deepest, is suffering from a lack of liquidity. With this risk in mind, Vanguard’s active fixed income funds are managing for stability.

Our base case is a global recession in 2023 brought about by the efforts to reduce inflation.