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Expert insight
Roger Hallam on rates, inflation, and what’s next for bonds
Roger Hallam discusses the recent rise in bond yields and what could come next.
Our full library of perspectives
The new bond playbook: Fed credibility, fiscal risk, AI investment, and opportunity
Roger Hallam and Matt Wrzesniewsky examine the key forces shaping today's fixed income outlook.
When could Fed policy start to bite?
Our baseline outlook does not anticipate rates rising high enough to threaten corporate earnings or economic activity.
As Fed raises key rate, bonds remain attractive
The Federal Reserve hikes to 3.75%–4% as bond yields advance, creating a stronger starting point.
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Markets and economics
The AI buildout comes to the bond market
From bonds to value stocks, AI is changing market composition, valuations, and investment leadership.
AI and jobs: Still in an ATM phase
ATMs did not radically reduce bank teller jobs, but mobile banking did. Which is the right parallel for today’s AI?
AI, oil, and a changing global economy
The AI buildout is generating strong growth and earnings, which could gradually broaden from builders to users.
AI investment powers growth outlook
Our global chief economist shares why we expect AI to drive higher-than-expected economic growth in 2027.
Research spotlight
Vanguard Capital Markets Model
Vanguard’s proprietary financial simulation engine for return forecasting and asset allocation.
Investing in private equity: A decision framework for drawdown versus semiliquid funds
Drawdown or semiliquid private equity funds? Learn how to choose the right structure for your goals.
Transferring wealth with wisdom
Recent Vanguard research explores the factors that affect the financial and emotional impact of an inheritance.
Educated alpha: A path to active for college savers
Vanguard research suggests active 529 glide paths may improve college savings outcomes for some investors.
Saving for a child’s financial future
Recent Vanguard research offers a framework for saving for a child’s future.
